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Oil prices have started the week on a weak note, which could just be position balancing after a sharp run higher last week. Sugar and coffee have had rallies today, while the USD has declined. Interestingly, even with the Fed officials talking of higher rates, the bonds have staged significant rallies this morning, potentially on fears of an economic slowdown if the Fed does raise rates. If Yellen is very hawkish on Friday, we expect the bonds to reverse course lower.
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